Solar cycle 24 predictions update

Leading solar and space science experts will convene a meeting in the coming years and attempt to predict solar cycle The consensus forecast is the result of collaboration by a solar cycle prediction panel of solar and space scientists from around the world.

Typically, the panel considers all new, relevant research results, observation trends, and model predictions available when the panel is convened. Just like hurricane season forecasts, solar cycle predictions have improved; however, there are still notable deviations in prediction versus actual activity.

Learn more about how solar activity affects the weather. Stay tuned for further updates! Want to learn more about weather and space? I wonder if some years we have "open" winters without much snow then in a few years we have snow up to our shoulders,, is result of the sun's cycles??? It seems odd to conclude that the earth should get even warmer as the current solar minimum ends.

The fact is that sunspot activity is at a low right now and it would seem the logical conclusion would be a colder winter. Breadcrumb Home Astronomy Sun.

Primary Image. Photo Credit. No content available. Solar Cycle 25 Predictions and Updates. November 12, More Like This. The Case for a Cool Climate. Nearing the End of Solar Cycle Comments Add a Comment. Thank you for an easily understood explanation. The monthly value at the end of December was more than twice the forecast, and the highest in more than 5 years.

Using a variety of leading indicators, the Panel predicted that Solar Cycle 25 would peak in July as a relatively weak cycle, similar in magnitude to its predecessor Solar Cycle Instead, Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be stronger. Sky watchers have already noticed the change. Indeed, geomagnetic activity has nearly tripled since the new solar cycle began. In , the first full year of Solar Cycle 25, there were 9 days with at least minor G1-class geomagnetic storms.

That number skyrocketed to 25 days in A similar progression may be expected in Another sign of increasing solar activity is the X-flare. X-flares are the most powerful type of solar flare.

The sun produced zero of these flares from late until mid Solar Cycle 25 busted the drought on July 3, , with an X1. Two down, 98 to go? Typical year solar cycles produce more than X-flares during the years around Solar Max.